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AGProLabs
Risk & Execution TradingView Pine Script Workflow

Risk of Ruin Engine [AGPro Series]

Focused TradingView workflow Built for risk planning, execution quality and decision review.

$149.00

Risk of Ruin Engine turns two numbers — a win rate (W) and an average reward-to-risk payoff (b, in R) — into the mathematics that actually keep a trader in the game. From those inputs it computes the optimal risk fraction (Kelly), per-trade expectancy, the probability of ruin across a ladder of risk levels, and a single 0–100 Survival score.

Lifetime Access only. Manual activation for one TradingView username after verified payment.

Selected access Lifetime Access $149 one-time
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  • One focused workflow
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Manual TradingView activation Submit the exact TradingView username at checkout. Manual review begins after verified payment; access confirmation follows when activation is complete. One-time payment. No subscription. Available payment methods are shown before order placement. Need help before purchase? Ask AGProLabs →
No auto-trading Workflows support manual chart review; they do not place trades or connect to brokers.
No financial advice Outputs are educational and analytical context, not instructions or guaranteed outcomes.
Manual activation TradingView invite-only access is enabled for the submitted username after confirmation.
Transparent checkout Available payment routes and access terms are shown before order placement.
SKU: AGPRO-D91D2424F9 Category:
Product-specific chart proof

What becomes easier to evaluate when Risk of Ruin Engine organizes the chart?

What becomes easier to evaluate when Risk of Ruin Engine organizes the chart? Risk of Ruin Engine turns that question into a repeatable TradingView review process.

Risk of Ruin Engine [AGPro Series]
Official product presentation Risk of Ruin Engine shown through its official product presentation.
What it organizes Analytical and educational use only. No auto-trading, broker execution, financial advice or guaranteed outcome.
01

Methodology at a glance

02

What you see on the chart

  • Panel = the full decision: win rate, payoff, expectancy, optimal (Kelly) and suggested risk, risk of ruin, the Survival score, the verdict, and the sample count.
03

Where it is most useful

  • Before sizing a trade, to translate a known win rate and payoff into a safe risk per trade.
04

When to step back

  • Do not treat the built-in measured edge as your own strategy's edge — it is a generic trigger for demonstration. For real sizing, enter your strategy's true win rate and payoff in Manual mode. • Do not rely on it where trades are highly correlated or where the edge is unstable, as the i.i.d. assumption behind the ruin math weakens. • When the panel reads Stand down, the honest answer is to size nothing — as in the example.
Complete product intelligence

Understand the workflow before you activate it.

Purpose, methodology, chart language, operating conditions, controls and limitations are presented below so you can evaluate fit before purchase.

System, Purpose & Difference What the workflow exists to solve, what it produces and why its design differs from generic signal tools.

Core Idea

With this strategy's real win rate and payoff, how much should you risk per trade — and will you survive a bad streak?

What This Workflow Does

Risk of Ruin Engine turns two numbers — a win rate (W) and an average reward-to-risk payoff (b, in R) — into the mathematics that actually keep a trader in the game. From those inputs it computes the optimal risk fraction (Kelly), per-trade expectancy, the probability of ruin across a ladder of risk levels, and a single 0–100 Survival score.You can feed it a measured edge sampled from a built-in symmetric trigger on the current symbol, or switch to Manual mode and enter your own strategy's win rate and payoff directly. The output is a clear verdict — Size up / Hold / Reduce / Stand down — plus a risk ladder showing how ruin climbs as risk grows.

Purpose & Design Philosophy

Most traders blow up not because their entries are bad, but because they risk too much for the edge they actually have. A 55% strategy and a 51% strategy call for very different position sizes, and the difference between surviving a losing streak and being wiped out by it is usually sizing, not signals.

Why It Is Different

Most risk tools stop at stop-distance and exposure — they show where a stop sits and what a single trade costs.This script does NOT draw stops or zones, and it does NOT claim to find trades.Instead, it computes the things almost no on-chart tool does: the Kelly fraction, per-trade expectancy, and a closed-form risk of ruin across a range of risk levels, condensed into a Survival score and a plain verdict. It is the sizing and survival layer that sits underneath whatever strategy finds the trades.
Methodology & Chart Language How context is processed and how zones, labels, colors, panels and visual states should be read.

Methodology

1. Edge Inputs Win rate W and payoff b come either from a built-in symmetric breakout trigger measured on this symbol (with a Building guard until enough samples accumulate) or from manual entry.2. Kelly Fraction The optimal risk fraction is f* = W − (1 − W) / b, floored at zero when there is no edge.3. Suggested Risk A configurable fraction of full Kelly (half-Kelly by default) for a safety margin.4. Expectancy Expected result per trade in R: E = W·b − (1 − W).

How to Read the Chart

  • Panel = the full decision: win rate, payoff, expectancy, optimal (Kelly) and suggested risk, risk of ruin, the Survival score, the verdict, and the sample count.
  • Risk Ladder = a strip of cells (0.5% / 1% / 2% / 3% risk) each showing the corresponding probability of ruin, colored from safe to dangerous so the cost of over-sizing is immediate.
  • Outcome markers = small triangles on the bars where measured trades resolved (win or loss) — the source of the measured edge.
  • Summary HUD = an on-chart readout of the edge, Survival, suggested risk, and expectancy.
Signals, States & Alerts What each visible state represents and when an alert marks a condition that deserves attention.

Signals & States

  • Size up → positive, robust edge.
  • Hold / Size with care → the edge is real but modest.
  • Reduce → thin edge; cut risk.
  • Stand down → no positive expectancy; do not size.
  • Building (n) → not enough measured samples yet.
Best Conditions & When to Step Back Where the workflow is most useful, which conditions weaken interpretation and how context changes the reading.

When to Use

  • Before sizing a trade, to translate a known win rate and payoff into a safe risk per trade.
  • When comparing two strategies, to see which can be sized more aggressively for the same survival.
  • When reviewing risk, to see how far your current risk sits from the ruin curve.

When Not to Use

  • Do not treat the built-in measured edge as your own strategy's edge — it is a generic trigger for demonstration. For real sizing, enter your strategy's true win rate and payoff in Manual mode. • Do not rely on it where trades are highly correlated or where the edge is unstable, as the i.i.d. assumption behind the ruin math weakens. • When the panel reads Stand down, the honest answer is to size nothing — as in the example.
Controls, Interface & Practical Workflow The main inputs, visual controls and a repeatable sequence for using the workflow without losing chart clarity.

Key Inputs

  • Edge source → Measured or Manual.
  • Manual win rate & payoff → your strategy's real numbers.
  • Trigger settings → breakout lookback, target/stop in ATR, forward window, minimum samples.
  • Kelly fraction → how much of full Kelly to suggest.
  • Ruin threshold → the drawdown that counts as ruin.
  • Survival reference risk → the risk level at which the Survival score is evaluated.
Boundaries, Limitations & Risk What the workflow does not do, where its outputs can weaken and the risk boundaries every buyer should understand.

What This Workflow Is Not

  • Not a signal generator and not a directional forecast.
  • Not financial advice.
  • Not connected to any broker and does not place or size live orders.
  • Not a guarantee of survival or profit.

Limitations & Transparency

The risk-of-ruin estimate assumes independent, identically distributed trades and a fixed-fractional approach, using a random-walk approximation. Real trading has streaks, correlation, slippage, and regime changes that the model does not capture. A measured win rate from a generic trigger is a demonstration, not your edge. Treat every output as a structured estimate to inform judgement, not a precise prediction.

Risk Disclosure

Trading involves substantial risk. This script is an analytical and educational tool only. It does not provide financial advice or guaranteed outcomes, and it does not manage money or place orders. All sizing and trading decisions, and their consequences, remain entirely your own responsibility.
Lifetime Access & Delivery The access term, payment-to-activation sequence and the TradingView username required for manual delivery.

Lifetime Access & Delivery

  • One-time Lifetime Access: this product has no recurring subscription.
  • One TradingView username: submit the exact username during checkout.
  • Manual activation: invite-only access is enabled after payment confirmation.
This is an analytical and educational TradingView workflow. It does not connect to a broker, place trades, manage an account, provide financial advice, or guarantee results. Trading involves risk, and every decision remains the user's responsibility.View the official TradingView publication
Before you buy

Clear access. Clear purpose. No signal-shop promises.

Risk of Ruin Engine is delivered as a TradingView Pine Script workflow for structured analysis and chart review. Access is activated manually for the TradingView username submitted at checkout.

  • TradingView accessInvite-only access is enabled after payment confirmation.
  • Analysis workflowDesigned for context, structure, risk review and visual discipline.
  • Not auto-tradingNo broker connection, no account management and no guaranteed outcome.

Product FAQ

Is this a TradingView Pine Script workflow?

Yes. This product is an invite-only AGPro Series workflow for use inside TradingView.

Does it trade automatically?

No. AGProLabs workflows are analytical tools. They do not connect to brokers, place trades or guarantee outcomes.

How is access activated?

Access is activated manually for the TradingView username submitted during checkout after payment confirmation.